The Golden State Warriors (39-28) host the Denver Nuggets (43-25) at Chase Center tonight at 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Here’s a breakdown of the betting odds, expert picks, and predictions for this high-stakes Western Conference battle.
📊 Season Series Update
Nuggets lead 1-0.
🔥 Recent Performance
- Nuggets: Coming off a 126-123 loss to the Wizards as 12-point home favorites. Despite the loss, Nikola Jokic dominated with 40 points & 13 rebounds. Denver has been inconsistent, alternating wins and losses in its last 6 games while going 1-5 against the spread (ATS).
- Warriors: Riding a 7-game win streak after defeating the Knicks 97-94. However, they failed to cover as 7-point favorites. Stephen Curry led with 28 points. The Warriors have won 12 of their last 13 games and are 8-4-1 ATS in that span.
📈 Nuggets at Warriors – Betting Odds (via BetMGM Sportsbook)
- Moneyline: Nuggets +165 | Warriors -200
- Spread: Nuggets +5.5 (-115) | Warriors -5.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
🏀 Injury Report
Nuggets:
✔️ G Christian Braun (foot) – Probable
❓ F Aaron Gordon (calf, ankle) – Questionable
❓ C Nikola Jokic (elbow, ankle) – Questionable
❓ G Jamal Murray (ankle) – Questionable
❌ G Julian Strawther (knee) – Out
Warriors:
❓ G Stephen Curry (back) – Questionable
✔️ G Gary Payton II (nose) – Available
❌ G Brandin Podziemski (back) – Out
❓ C Quinten Post (ankle) – Questionable
🔮 Prediction
Warriors 123, Nuggets 120
💰 Best Bets
✅ Against the Spread (Nuggets +5.5, -115)
- Denver is 4-3 ATS in its last 7 road games.
- The Nuggets have scored 123+ points in 3 of their last 4 games.
- Golden State is 2-4-1 ATS as a favorite in its last 7 games and only 16-17-1 ATS at home.
✅ Over 236.5 (-110)
- Denver has scored at least 131 points in 3 of its last 6 games and ranks 2nd in offensive rating (119.3).
- Nuggets' defense has struggled, allowing 126+ points in 5 of their last 6 games.
- Golden State has hit 121+ points in 3 of its last 5 games and has gone Over in 3 of its last 5.
🏀 Final Take: Expect a high-scoring, close game, making Nuggets +5.5 & Over 236.5 the best bets! 🎯
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